West Virginia’s 1st District

U.S. House · WV-1

Election day November 3, 2026 · forecast of October 15, 2026

Our forecast gives the Republicans a more than 99% chance of winning, with an average lead of 30.3 points.

Safe seat. Chance of a final gap under 5 points: under 1%.

Projected vote share

Projection by party

Thin vertical mark: 2024 result.

	Republican	Democrat	Other
WV-1	62.6%	32.3%	5.1%
National averageUnited States	44.2%+18.4	54.5%−22.2	1.2%+3.8

Simple average of the 435 districts, not weighted by population.

Projection track

Latino citizens aged 18 and over	1.0% (± 0.1)

Share of all citizens aged 18 and over (ACS 2020–2024 estimate). Not a share of registered or actual voters.

Source: U.S. Census Bureau, citizen voting-age population by race and ethnicity, ACS 2020–2024, 119th Congress districts

Carol Miller · Republican

Held May 12, 2026 · Official source

Democratic primary	Vince George	53.0%	23,503 votes
Republican primary	Carol Miller	72.0%	40,493 votes

Who's running

Candidates for the upcoming election.

The Republicans won by 40.2 points.

Our current projection: the Republicans ahead by 30.3 points.

Party ahead and how sure the projection is.

Watch list

The smallest projected gaps between the top two.