California’s 35th District
U.S. House · CA-35
Election day November 3, 2026 · forecast of October 15, 2026
Our forecast gives the Democrats a more than 99% chance of winning, with an average lead of 23.9 points.
Safe seat. Chance of a final gap under 5 points: 1%.
Compared with the average
| Democrat | Republican | |
|---|---|---|
| CA-35 | 61.9% | 38.1% |
| National averageUnited States | 54.5%+7.4 | 44.2%−6.2 |
Simple average of the 435 districts, not weighted by population.
Projection track
How the projection has moved
Current member
Norma J. Torres · Democrat
Primary results
| Top-two primary | Norma J. Torres · Advanced to the general election | 59.6% | 76,029 votes |
|---|---|---|---|
| Top-two primary | Mike Cargile · Advanced to the general election | 40.4% | 51,641 votes |
Democrat 
Republican Previous election (2024)
The Democrats won by 14.5 points.
Our current projection: the Democrats ahead by 23.9 points.
Where these voters came from
This district was redrawn in the 2025-2026 redistricting. Share of its voters from each former district:
- Former district 35 57%
- Former district 40 19%
- Former district 41 15%
- Former district 28 6%
Watch list
The tightest races
The smallest projected gaps between the top two.
- Forecast updated