Marine Le Pen
A member of parliament and figure of the National Rally, Marine Le Pen reached the presidential runoff in 2017 (against Emmanuel Macron) and 2022. She officially declared her 2027 candidacy on 7 July 2026, following a court of appeal ruling.
Marine Le Pen (Far right (RN)) is an officially declared candidate in the 2027 French presidential election. Our aggregations test them across 9 candidate configurations, with a first-round voting intention between 18 and 34% depending on the lineup.
In the runoff, in the "Le Pen vs Attal" lineup, our forecast has them winning against Jean-Luc Mélenchon (64.9% to 35.1%). This is our best central estimate for that lineup, within a range of plausible outcomes.
First-round voting intention
Range observed across 9 tested lineups. The marker shows the best lineup.
- Floor
- 18.0%
- Ceiling
- 34.0%
- Best lineup
- 38.0%
- Probability of advancing
- 100%
Runoff matchups
Projected outcome against each opponent, in the most favourable featured lineup.
- ahead vs Jean-Luc Mélenchon 64.9% — 35.1%
- ahead vs Édouard Philippe 54.7% — 45.3%