François Hollande
Social democrats (PS) Probable
François Hollande (Social democrats (PS)) is a probable candidate in the 2027 French presidential election. Our aggregations test them across 2 candidate configurations, with a first-round voting intention between 4 and 16% depending on the lineup.
First-round voting intention
Range observed across 2 tested lineups. The marker shows the best lineup.
0%15%30%45%
- Floor
- 4.0%
- Ceiling
- 16.0%
- Best lineup
- 7.3%
- Probability of advancing
- 4%
Runoff matchups
Projected outcome against each opponent, in the most favourable featured lineup.
No projected runoff matchup yet.