Result confirmed · August 31, 2026

Beaches—East York.

Tanveer Shahnawaz holds Beaches—East York for the Liberals. Vote-Scope called the Liberal win that night with 4% of polls counted — but projected the NDP at 9.6% where it took 25.8%.

Result

Winner Liberal · Tanveer Shahnawaz 55.7%

Liberal — Tanveer Shahnawaz 55.7% ✓

NDP — Shannon Devine 25.8%

Conservative — Jim Syrbos 15.5%

Green — Bruce Livesey 1.7%

People's Party — Michel Lachance 0.8%

Other — Cameron Thomas 0.5%

Turnout 40.4%

Margin +29.9 pts

A comfortable Liberal hold on 40.4% turnout — and the projection's worst miss of the three. Vote-Scope had the Liberals at 68% and the New Democrats at 9.6%; the count returned 55.7% and 25.8%. The winner was never in doubt, the shape of the race was. Source: Elections Canada preliminary returns, 200 of 200 polls.